2025-12-31
DEVELOPMENT 1
Government Normalizes Constitutional Gap Through Calendar Endorsement
Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aime met with the Provisional Electoral Council on December 30
and publicly endorsed the CEP's revised electoral calendar. The PM stated he had taken note with
satisfaction of the publication of the electoral calendar and congratulated the Transitional
Presidential Council for its commitment to elaborating the electoral decree. He characterized the
calendar as realistic and credible and conforming to democratic requirements. This represents the
first explicit government endorsement of the December 25 CEP calendar revision that abandoned
the December 22 candidate list publication deadline and created a 365-day constitutional gap
between February 7 2026 and February 7 2027.
The endorsement occurred one day before New Year's Eve and 38 days before the CPT's
constitutional mandate expiration. By praising the calendar and congratulating the CPT, the PM is
attempting to normalize an extra-constitutional transition without formally announcing a mandate
extension. This strategy relies on operational continuity rather than legal declaration. The
December 31, 2025
government proceeds with an electoral calendar that structurally requires the CPT to govern
through 2026 while avoiding direct confrontation with international actors who have declared
February 7 as the unconditional end of the transitional mandate.
The endorsement strategy faces three critical obstacles. Canadian Ambassador Sebastien Giroux
declared on December 16 that February 7 represents the unconditional end of the CPT mandate,
ruling out international legitimization of any extension. The MORN coalition declared on
December 28 that the CPT mandate is already expired and authorities are only authorized for
current affairs management. The OAS Roadmap's institutional continuity clause requires
international actors to work with Haitian authorities to avoid a power vacuum but does not specify
that the CPT remains the recognized authority after February 7.
The December 30 meeting represents a calculated effort to establish facts on the ground. By
securing government endorsement of the calendar, CEP operational acceptance, and
international acquiescence through silence, the CPT seeks to make its February 7 expiration
logistically impossible without triggering state collapse. This mirrors the pattern identified in media
editorials published December 31 alleging silent maneuvers to extend power. The strategy
depends on international actors prioritizing stability over constitutional adherence when faced with
the binary choice between CPT continuation and institutional vacuum.