2025-12-31

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

RECOMMENDED DECISIONS

Use 16 percent decline data to challenge PM's realistic calendar characterization in stakeholder communications. December 31, 2025 Highlight CPT track record when evaluating international community proposals for mandate extension. Prepare economic impact assessments for scenarios including CPT continuation versus alternative transition mechanisms. Monitor Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 GDP data for acceleration or deceleration of contraction rate. Track correlation between gang territorial control percentages and economic activity metrics. Assess whether economic collapse data influences international donor willingness to fund extended CPT timeline. CONFIDENCE High confidence based on official IHSI institutional reporting.