2025-12-31

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

RECOMMENDED DECISIONS

Monitor for CPT or government statements in early January directly addressing February 7 mandate status. Track international community response to PM endorsement particularly from Canada US and CARICOM. Assess whether OAS or UN convenes emergency consultations on institutional continuity mechanisms. Prepare scenarios for both CPT extension acceptance and alternative transition mechanisms. Watch for domestic opposition mobilization particularly MORN coalition response to normalization strategy. Evaluate whether PM's realistic calendar characterization signals acceptance of extended timeline by international partners. CONFIDENCE High confidence based on official institutional reporting.