2026-01-04

CPT formal statement addressing February 7 deadline and Article 6.1 prohibition expected between January 10 and 20 unless silent maneuvers strategy continues through late January. Absence of CPT statement by January 20 would leave 18 days until constitutional expiration without announced transition plan, increasing probability of institutional void. Gang territorial consolidation in Artibonite and Plateau Central may accelerate if security forces prioritize Port-au-Prince defense over regional expansion prevention. January 04, 2026