2026-01-04
RECOMMENDED DECISIONS
Economic actors should prepare for potential currency instability and market disruption during
February 7 transition period given seven-year GDP contraction pattern.
International financial institutions should develop contingency frameworks for continued
operations if February 7 produces governance void.
January 04, 2026
Political parties should incorporate economic recovery strategies into replacement governance
framework negotiations.
Private sector stakeholders should assess whether continued transitional governance can reverse
negative 16 percent cumulative GDP decline or requires structural reforms.
Diaspora remittance networks should prepare for potential disruption if February 7 constitutional
crisis produces banking system instability.
CONFIDENCE
High confidence based on official institutional reporting.