2026-01-04

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

QUICK SUMMARY FOR STAKEHOLDERS

MOPAL assessment contradicts GSF claims of territorial gains, declaring gangs control quasi-totality of Port-au-Prince, Artibonite, and Plateau Central. Article 6.1 of May 23, 2024 decree explicitly prohibits CPT mandate extension, creating legal impossibility for silent maneuvers strategy. Eighteen-day operational pause continues, representing longest sustained period without major gang violence in 2025. Thirty-four days until February 7 constitutional deadline with no consensus on replacement governance framework. U.S.-Canada diplomatic split remains unresolved as CARICOM and OAS maintain silence.