2026-01-19

UN BINUH mandate expires January 31, twelve days away and seven days before February 7 CPT mandate expiration creating dual institutional vacuum risk. No UN Security Council renewal announced as of January 19 despite expectations of vote before January 31 expiration date. If BINUH expires without renewal, Haiti operates February 1-6 without UN political mission before CPT mandate ends eliminating coordination mechanism. July 2025 BINUH renewal for only six months reflected uncertainty about UN role and perception that mission undersized for Haiti emergency scale. OAS institutional continuity clause requires UN coordination with OAS and CARICOM but BINUH expiration eliminates UN presence for February 1-7 period. Three interpretations possible: last-minute renewal awaiting dialogue outcomes, emergency session February 1-7, or planned withdrawal from political mediation.