2026-01-19

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

HISTORICAL CONTEXT

The December 21 2024 start of the gang attack pause followed months of intense violence throughout 2024 during which armed groups expanded territorial control to approximately eighty to ninety percent of Port-au-Prince and carried out major attacks including the March 2024 coordinated assaults that forced Prime Minister Ariel Henry's resignation. Previous gang pauses have typically lasted days to weeks, making the current forty-three day pause unprecedented in duration and suggesting strategic calculation rather than operational weakness or security force pressure.