2026-01-19

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

TALKING POINTS

January 19 represents first business day after critical weekend passed without CARICOM emergency summit confirming international facilitation has collapsed. CPT dialogue with COPPOS, KOREPAD, Montana, and December 21 representatives represents absolute final window for consensus allowing eighteen to seventeen days implementation timeline. Three major civil society proposals converge on CPT must change but diverge fundamentally on executive structure, timeline, and leadership selection mechanisms. Internal CPT deadlock between extension factions, reduction factions, and departure factions means even civil society consensus may not secure CPT approval. If no consensus by January 22, Haiti enters final sixteen days with unilateral CPT actions or institutional vacuum assured. Minimum viable implementation timeline requires fourteen to twenty-two days for decree drafting, stakeholder consultations, CPT approval, publication, and public rollout.