2026-02-08

Monitor security restoration in 23 gang-controlled communes monthly to assess electoral timeline viability. Track CEP announcements on party registration opening and compliance with electoral decree requirements. Evaluate whether GSF deployment timeline aligns with May campaign launch or creates need for additional postponement. Assess political actor willingness to participate in elections under current security and governance conditions. Watch for CEP statements on funding adequacy particularly for overseas voting infrastructure. Prepare analysis of alternative scenarios including partial elections in accessible zones or further timeline extension. CONFIDENCE February 08, 2026 High confidence based on official institutional reporting.