2026-02-08

Track GSF force generation rate and identify contributing countries to assess deployment timeline reliability. Monitor gang territorial activity for opportunistic expansion during security transition period. Evaluate whether Haiti National Police capacity can maintain current security gains without MSS support. Assess impact of security gap on humanitarian access particularly during March-June lean season. Watch for coordination failures between outgoing MSS, incoming GSF, and Haiti National Police. Prepare contingency plans for electoral timeline disruption if security conditions deteriorate before August. February 08, 2026 CONFIDENCE High confidence based on official institutional reporting.