2026-02-08

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

QUICK SUMMARY FOR STAKEHOLDERS

CPT mandate expired February 7 with no successor governance structure creating executive authority vacuum. US imposed sanctions on five CPT members and deployed warships while backing PM Fils-Aime as leader. Kenya MSS withdrawal begins as GSF activation creates potential security gap through mid-2026. Gang territorial control over 23 communes threatens viability of August 30 election schedule. Food insecurity projected to reach 54% of population during March-June 2026 lean season.