2026-02-08

Gang control of 23 communes prevents CEP access required for electoral infrastructure establishment. August 30 first round date assumes security improvements unlikely without full GSF deployment. Campaign period begins May 19 requiring 103 days of political organizing space restoration. No party registration or candidate announcement activity has begun despite approaching deadlines. Electoral decree includes women candidate and overseas voting provisions but implementation mechanisms undefined. March-June food insecurity peak coincides with critical electoral preparation period.