2026-01-02
THIS WEEK
CARICOM or OAS emergency coordination sessions during January 5-10 would
indicate international actors recognizing urgency of February 7 deadline and
negotiating unified position on post-deadline framework. Direction of travel depends
on whether U.S.-Canada split can be reconciled or whether legitimacy twilight zone
emerges. Primary risk is continued diplomatic silence allowing CPT silent
normalization strategy to proceed without international legitimization mechanism.