2026-01-02

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 10 pages

TALKING POINTS

U.S.-Canada split on February 7 deadline creates fundamental contradiction in international support for Haitian transition. Zero statements from CARICOM, OAS, or UN during January 1-2 holiday period indicates avoidance of constitutional crisis. CPT silent maneuvers strategy normalizes mandate extension without formal announcement or constitutional mechanism. Thirty-six days remaining creates two-to-three week window for international coordination before crisis point. Legitimacy twilight zone allows CPT to govern with U.S. endorsement but Canadian rejection and domestic opposition.