2026-01-02

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 10 pages

STRATEGIC HORIZON

January 02, 2026 CPT formal statement on mandate extension mechanism by January 15 would clarify governance approach for post-February 7 period and provide basis for international coordination. Direction of travel is toward either orderly transition through negotiated extension or power vacuum through constitutional deadline expiration without legitimate successor. Primary risk is legitimacy collapse on February 7 if CPT governs without constitutional authority and faces domestic opposition plus partial international rejection.