2026-01-12

International community should press CPT for realistic assessment of territorial control rather than aspirational messaging. CARICOM should demand detailed security sector capacity evaluation before considering any CPT mandate extension support. UN should document gang territorial control patterns in Artibonite Department including Gonaieves for Security Council reporting. Opposition groups should use Gonaieves paralysis example to counter government claims of progress ahead of February 7. Private sector should factor persistent gang territorial control into February 7 transition scenario January 12, 2026 planning. CONFIDENCE High confidence based on official institutional reporting.