2026-01-12

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

TALKING POINTS

Andresol set February 7 deadline for reopening routes to South and North, creating measurable legitimacy test for government. Promise directly addresses National Route No. 1 Montrouis impassability documented by OCHA since January 6. If routes remain closed on February 7, government claims of retaking territorial control will be operationally disproven. Promise suggests government views infrastructure reopening as prerequisite for justifying CPT mandate extension. Operational feasibility appears unrealistic within 26 days given PNH capacity constraints and Gonaieves paralysis example. January 12, 2026