2026-01-05

January 05, 2026 Assess whether gangs resume violence in late January January 20-31 escalating pressure on CPT for amnesty negotiations before February 7 deadline. Monitor international actor positioning between legitimizing CPT mandate extension and negotiating replacement formula as February 3-7 compressed timeline approaches. Track whether mainstream media basculement framing influences diaspora remittance patterns investor confidence and humanitarian actor security postures creating self-fulfilling crisis dynamics.