2026-01-05

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

saw major flooding in Cap-Haitien following heavy rains creating critical humanitarian disruption in Haiti's second-largest city. Radio Metropole broadcast Haiti on the brink of collapse what awaits us after February 7 2026 marking the first mainstream media program framing Feb 7 as basculement rather than routine transition. The Trump administration's February 3 TPS termination affecting 350,000 Haitians creates a compressed four-day timeline before CPT mandate expiration compounding institutional crisis with diaspora deportation crisis. Despite government operations resuming the 20-day gang operational pause continues with zero incidents suggesting strategic discipline as leverage for February 7 negotiations. 33 days until constitutional reckoning.