2026-01-05

20-day gang operational pause from December 21 through January 5 continues despite government operations resuming . Pause extends beyond holiday period suggesting strategic discipline rather than seasonal violence reduction. MOPAL January 4 assessment confirms gangs control quasi-totality of Port-au-Prince contradicting GSF claims of territorial retaking. Pause demonstrates gang organizational capacity to suspend violence indefinitely when strategically advantageous for February 7 positioning. Expect violence resumption in late January as gangs escalate pressure for amnesty negotiations before constitutional deadline.