2026-01-05
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS
Monitor whether gangs resume violence on or January 6-7 ending the 20-day operational pause
or whether strategic discipline extends through mid-January. Track CPT or ministerial statements
regarding Cap-Haitien flooding response coordination as indicator of institutional capacity 33 days
before mandate expiration. Watch for additional mainstream media programming on February 7
scenarios building on Radio Metropole's basculement framing from .