2025-12-23
STRATEGIC HORIZON
The February 7 2026 constitutional deadline requires emergency CARICOM mediation
framework by January 15 to allow meaningful succession negotiations before mandate
expiration. Without intervention in the next three weeks, Haiti enters constitutional limbo
with no legal government, no security force command clarity, and maximum gang
negotiating leverage for amnesty agreements. The next 46 days determine whether
Haiti's democratic transition continues under revised timeline or collapses into extra
constitutional governance.