2025-12-23

Security analysts should prepare for violence resumption within 24-48 hours of list publication. Humanitarian organizations should pre position resources anticipating post Christmas violence spike. The PNH should maintain elevated readiness posture despite current operational pause. International observers should track gang response patterns to electoral developments. Diplomatic actors should recognize gang silence as strategic positioning not de escalation. December 23, 2025 CONFIDENCE Moderate confidence based on partial institutional reporting.