2025-12-23
TALKING POINTS
46 days remain until February 7 2026 Transitional Presidential Council mandate
expiration.
Candidate list delay means new government inauguration cannot occur before
July-August 2026.
Five to six month gap between mandate expiration and possible inauguration requires
emergency framework.
Three succession options all face severe constitutional or political legitimacy
constraints.
Gang negotiating leverage increases hourly as February 7 approaches without
succession clarity.