2025-12-23

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

TALKING POINTS

46 days remain until February 7 2026 Transitional Presidential Council mandate expiration. Candidate list delay means new government inauguration cannot occur before July-August 2026. Five to six month gap between mandate expiration and possible inauguration requires emergency framework. Three succession options all face severe constitutional or political legitimacy constraints. Gang negotiating leverage increases hourly as February 7 approaches without succession clarity.