2025-12-23

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The Provisional Electoral Council has failed to publish the final candidate list for 48 consecutive hours beyond the December 22 deadline with zero official explanation from any government or international actor. The December 26 campaign period start is now operationally impossible. Three consecutive days of unprecedented security silence suggest gangs are strategically awaiting the list publication or electoral collapse confirmation before determining their February 7 amnesty negotiating position. With 46 days remaining until the Transitional Presidential Council mandate expires on February 7 2026, Haiti faces converging crises requiring immediate CARICOM intervention to prevent constitutional limbo.