2026-01-29

Saint-Cyr/Fils-Aime consolidation represents most likely post-February 7 continuity scenario. Constitutional interpretation allows prime minister to continue in caretaker capacity pending successor installation. US and Canada backing provides international legitimacy despite domestic opposition. Five-member dismissal coalition politically exhausted after sanctions and party disavowals. Civil society warns of institutional vacuum risks but lacks mechanisms to force political negotiations. Nine days remain for political accord but Saint-Cyr/Fils-Aime continuity appears default outcome.