2026-01-29

Political actors should engage CARICOM EPG mediation in final nine days before February 7 deadline. International partners should coordinate messaging emphasizing gang beneficiary dynamic of continued infighting. Saint-Cyr and Fils-Aime should announce post-February 7 continuity framework to prevent institutional vacuum. Private sector should prepare for Saint-Cyr/Fils-Aime caretaker government scenario as most likely outcome. Civil society organizations should mobilize public pressure for negotiated political accord before February 7. Diaspora communities should leverage family networks to communicate urgency of political consensus to Haiti-based actors. CONFIDENCE High confidence based on official institutional reporting.