2026-01-24
DEVELOPMENT 4: HUMANITARIAN CRISIS INTENSIFIES AS TPS TERMINATION THREATENS
REMITTANCE FLOWS
Haiti's humanitarian conditions continue deteriorating with 5.7 million people facing acute hunger
and 1.4 million remaining displaced while United States Temporary Protected Status termination
February 3 2026 threatens critical remittance flows. The 340000 to 353000 Haitians losing TPS legal
status face 18-month departure window with potential mass deportations destabilizing Haiti further.
Remittances totaling 4.9 billion dollars annually represent 21.4 percent of GDP with 62.8 percent
originating from United States making TPS population economically critical. Gang control of 85 to 90
percent of Port-au-Prince combined with severely limited airport access makes return extremely
dangerous for deportees.
The humanitarian emergency extends beyond Port-au-Prince with gangs expanding into Artibonite
and Centre departments where killings increased 210 percent in January to August 2025 versus
2024. Armed attacks in Montrouis December 23 to 25 displaced 1120 people and National Road 1
remained impassable at Montrouis segment as of January 6 due to gang activity. The gourde
remained stable at 131.14 HTG per USD but 5800 people were displaced from Port-au-Prince
neighborhoods by PNH operations since January 1 adding to existing displacement crisis. Toussaint
Louverture Airport maintains severely limited commercial traffic with FAA ban through March 2026
constraining humanitarian cargo and personnel movement.
The convergence of TPS termination political crisis and security vacuum creates conditions for
catastrophic humanitarian deterioration. Mass deportations could flood displacement camps with
January 24, 2026
returnees lacking shelter or livelihood options. Remittance disruption would immediately impact
household food security healthcare access and small business operations across all departments.
The absence of functional governance after February 7 would paralyze humanitarian coordination
and service delivery. International humanitarian agencies already face severe access constraints
with MSF still awaiting humanitarian corridor agreement before resuming Port-au-Prince and
Carrefour activities.