2026-01-24

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

RECOMMENDED DECISIONS

International organizations should develop governance continuity protocols that bypass CPT including direct engagement with Parliament technocratic ministers and institutional holdovers to January 24, 2026 maintain basic state functions. Political actors should propose emergency interim arrangement with narrow mandate focused on security and humanitarian response rather than comprehensive political settlement. Private sector should engage institutional actors including Central Bank judiciary and civil service leadership to support continuity planning independent of CPT. Diplomatic missions should prepare for fragmented governance scenario with competing claims to executive authority and establish decision rules for recognition. Civil society should mobilize public pressure for technocratic transition that prioritizes service delivery over political competition. CONFIDENCE Moderate confidence based on partial institutional reporting.