2026-01-24

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

TALKING POINTS

Five CPT members face imminent US sanctions risk for attempting PM dismissal against explicit Washington warnings. Internal CPT fracture isolates dismissal supporters with President Saint-Cyr and major parties opposing the move. February 7 deadline creates 14-day window of maximum political uncertainty with no governance succession plan. US intervention signals potential pivot from diplomatic pressure to direct sanctions enforcement. Political vacuum scenarios range from executive authority collapse to illegitimate mandate extension. Constitutional crisis compounds security emergency as gangs control 85 to 90 percent of Port-au-Prince. January 24, 2026