2026-01-20

Assess whether UN Security Council convenes emergency session to renew BINUH before January 31 expiration or allows mission to lapse seven days before CPT deadline, eliminating international coordination capacity. Monitor whether 70-party alliance that formed January 14 demanding CPT departure begins public mobilization or protest actions in response to dialogue producing no concrete outcomes after two days of meetings. Watch for additional PNH operations against gang strongholds following -Barbecue offensive to determine if government maintains operational tempo or returns to sporadic engagement pattern.