2026-01-20

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

DEVELOPMENT 1: CPT National Dialogue Fails to Produce Consensus After Two Full Days of

Meetings The Transitional Presidential Council concluded the second day of its national political dialogue on January 19, meeting with representatives from COPPOS-Haiti et Allies, KOREPAD, Montana Accord, and December 21 Accord groups. However, the CPT's official statement released used identical generic language to 's announcement, claiming to have successfully concluded exchanges marked by quality dialogue, without announcing any specific consensus points, governance frameworks, agreed timelines, or concrete next steps for the February 7 transition. Le Nouvelliste reported that the CPT is struggling to find a political agreement before February 7, while separately confirming that unnamed political organizations are maintaining their refusal to dialogue with the transitional council despite the ongoing meetings. The dialogue's failure to produce announced outcomes becomes more significant when viewed against the January 14 formation of an alliance of more than 70 political parties that adopted a protocol explicitly rejecting any CPT mandate extension and demanding the council's definitive end on February 7. This alliance, which includes Grand Bloc du Peuple, Initiative du 24 avril, Opposition plurielle, Accord Karibe, DEHFI, and MP-18, called for establishment of a new January 20, 2026 one-year transition and general elections no later than fourth quarter 2026. The alliance was formalized four days before the CPT launched its dialogue process, suggesting significant political forces had already positioned themselves against the transitional council before consultations began. With 18 days remaining until the constitutional deadline, the absence of any announced frameworks after two days of meetings with Haiti's most significant political stakeholders indicates either fundamental disagreements on core transition elements, internal CPT deadlock on which proposal to adopt, or a strategy of conducting consultations to claim legitimacy for a predetermined decision rather than genuinely building consensus. and represent the final realistic opportunity for announced frameworks that would allow the minimum 14 to 22 days required for proper implementation of decree drafting, stakeholder consultations, legal review, official publication, and institutional rollout.