2026-01-20

Monitor whether CPT announces governance frameworks on or January 21-22, representing final realistic opportunity for frameworks allowing minimum 16 to 17 days implementation before February 7, or whether dialogue failure continues past this window assuring insufficient timeline for orderly transition and triggering either unilateral CPT actions or opposition mobilization. Watch for federal courts to issue emergency rulings on TPS termination given 14-day countdown and extreme time pressure to prevent irreversible deportations beginning February 3. Track whether gangs escalate from 's tactical attack on AP videographer to broader pattern of violence against security forces or media, signaling strategic pause is ending rather than isolated defensive response.