2026-01-16

CARICOM should announce by January 17 whether it will convene an emergency Heads of Government summit for January 18 or formally withdraw from facilitation acknowledging coordination failure. The Transitional Presidential Council should hold emergency weekend sessions to decide whether to announce a departure framework by January 20 or prepare for unilateral extension beyond February 7. January 16, 2026 Civil society organizations should attempt emergency coordination over the weekend to consolidate the Civil Society Initiative, RANFOR, and ANR proposals into a unified framework presentable by January 20. International media should increase coverage of the February 7 deadline over the weekend to pressure Haitian and international actors toward decisive action before . Diplomatic missions in Port-au-Prince should coordinate over the weekend to present a unified position to the Transitional Presidential Council by morning. CONFIDENCE Moderate confidence based on partial institutional reporting.