2026-01-11

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

TALKING POINTS

CPT members attempted to replace coordinator Laurent Saint-Cyr for not supporting PM Fils-Aime removal exposing fundamental internal power struggle. Saint-Cyr and PM Fils-Aime form minority bloc opposing PM removal while CPT majority supports removing PM and extending council mandate. PM Fils-Aime negotiating to remain after February 7 without presidential oversight structure seeking to govern alone without CPT supervision. Three competing scenarios create fundamentally different legitimacy implications: CPT extension requiring international support, PM-only governance under existing authority, or dual governance crisis. Internal conflict must resolve within 7-14 days to prevent institutional vacuum on February 7 with no January 11, 2026 visible consensus mechanism.