2026-01-11

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

QUICK SUMMARY FOR STAKEHOLDERS

CARICOM publicly warns time running out for February 7 transition with no consensus on post-CPT governance framework despite multiple international actors holding talks. CPT internal conflict exposed as members attempted to replace Saint-Cyr for not supporting PM removal while PM Fils-Aime seeks to govern post-February 7 without CPT oversight. National Route No. 1 impassable at Montrouis since January 6 blocking commercial and humanitarian traffic between capital and northern Haiti demonstrating gang strategic control of infrastructure chokepoints. Port-au-Prince 30-day operational pause continues as longest sustained period without major gang violence on record while Artibonite offensive persists with 1,120 displaced in Montrouis. Twenty-seven days until February 7 CPT mandate expiration with window for coordinated action narrowed to next 10-14 days before institutional vacuum risk.