2025-12-11

Thursday, December 11, 2025, 7:00 PM Haiti Time Today Will the Prime Minister Office issue any statement on the GSF conference outcomes or address the electoral calendar discrepancy before the end of Thursday. Monitor whether the CEP responds to media inquiries about the contradictory timelines. Track whether the Bel-Air violence extends into a fifth day or whether any PNH deployment occurs. This Week The December 15 candidate registration deadline will reveal which electoral timeline candidates believe is operative based on their public statements and campaign launch strategies. Watch for any CARICOM or OAS statements addressing the February 7 constitutional deadline. Monitor whether the CEP updates its official website to reflect the August 30 timeline or maintains the February 1 information. Track whether gang violence spreads beyond Bel-Air or whether the Krache Dife splinter successfully consolidates territorial control. Strategic The period from now until February 7 represents the final 58 days to establish constitutional mechanisms for governance continuity past the CPT mandate expiration. If no framework emerges by late January, expect accelerating political crisis and potential challenges to transitional government legitimacy. The GSF deployment timeline becomes critical as it may determine whether security improvements occur under constitutional or extra-constitutional authority. Watch for any political actors beginning to position themselves for post-February 7 power claims if the constitutional vacuum is not resolved.