2025-12-11

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 8 pages

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Haiti faces a confirmed electoral calendar crisis as the government officially approved August 30, 2026 as the election date, directly contradicting the widely circulated February 1 timeline still published by the CEP. This creates operational chaos for candidates registering by December 15 who do not know which election they are preparing for. The CPT mandate expires February 7, 2026, leaving a six-month constitutional vacuum with no legal extension mechanism identified. Meanwhile, the Bel-Air massacre enters its fourth consecutive day with over 60 dead and zero police intervention, signaling deliberate state acceptance of gang self-purging. Prime Minister Fils-Aimé returned Wednesday from the GSF conference without issuing any clarifying statement on these compounding institutional crises.