2025-12-29

December 29, 2025 The February 7, 2026 constitutional deadline approaches with 40 days remaining requiring CARICOM and OAS emergency intervention in early January to negotiate transitional framework for 365-day governance gap or accept constitutional crisis scenario. Canadian Ambassador unconditional end declaration eliminates CPT unilateral extension options forcing either international negotiation of new mechanism or governance vacuum on February 7. Prime Minister no negotiations doctrine forecloses gang amnesty pathways ensuring continued violence through constitutional deadline and beyond absent political accommodation framework. MORN 40-day mobilization structure creates sustained opposition pressure timeline coinciding with constitutional deadline but modest December 29 turnout suggests limited capacity for forcing immediate political crisis requiring assessment of cumulative effects over January period.