2025-12-29

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

DEVELOPMENT 2: PRIME MINISTER REJECTS GANG NEGOTIATION PATHWAY

COMMITTING TO MILITARY SOLUTION Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aime visited National Police Headquarters in Clercine on December 28, 2025 one day before MORN sit-in to reaffirm government absolute commitment to restoring public order and republican authority. The Prime Minister declared in Creole that the government fight is against armed gangs, the government fight is to secure the country, the State will not back down, and the State will not negotiate with criminals. This categorical rejection of gang negotiations directly counters International Crisis Group December 15 assessment warning that armed groups seek amnesty as part of February 7 transition creating fundamental policy divergence where gangs view constitutional deadline as negotiation leverage point while government commits to military suppression without political accommodation. The visit included Minister of Justice and Public Security Patrick Pelissier, Secretary of State for Public Security Mario Andresol, Acting PNH Director General Jonas Vladimir Paraison, and PNH High Command signaling unified security apparatus support for no negotiations doctrine. December 29, 2025 The December 28 visit was framed as part of general mobilization of state security forces jointly engaged in offensive against armed criminal groups including National Police, Armed Forces of Haiti, and Gang Suppression Force. Prime Minister Fils-Aime emphasized that restoring security is prerequisite for return to constitutional order and confirmed 2026 will be dedicated to organizing general elections and renewing political personnel and republican institutions. This statement confirms government proceeding with revised May 19 through August 28, 2026 campaign period published December 25 despite 365-day constitutional gap between February 7, 2026 mandate expiration and February 7, 2027 presidential inauguration. The general mobilization rhetoric does not address core National Police deficiency of personnel with approximately 9,000 officers for 11 million people and more than 30 officers killed in 2025 alone creating unsustainable human cost despite United States donation of 25 armored vehicles December 27. On December 29 same day as MORN sit-in the Prime Minister met with PNH Director General Jonas Vladimir Paraison at Primature in presence of SWAT unit members discussing effectiveness of security operations against armed groups and improving working conditions for law enforcement. Support measures announced included risk premiums for officers, expanded medical coverage in Haiti and Cuba, and housing assistance programs. The Prime Minister observed minute of silence in honor of agents killed in line of duty highlighting institutional recognition of security strategy devastating impact on personnel and families. The convergence of no negotiations doctrine, general mobilization announcement, and personnel support measures demonstrates government commitment to sustained military operations through February 7 deadline and beyond regardless of gang amnesty demands or political opposition pressure for negotiated settlement.