2025-12-29

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

TALKING POINTS

December 29 marks ninth day of sustained operational pause with only two major incidents December 23 and 24 representing unprecedented restraint Gang strategic observation during MORN sit-in suggests armed groups monitoring political developments before determining response strategy Operational pause allows political opposition to build momentum but risks government consolidating security gains through general mobilization December 23 maritime warfare and December 25-26 economic terrorism capabilities established requiring only operational decision to resume Pattern demonstrates gang tactical discipline and centralized planning rather than opportunistic violence suggesting coordinated leadership