2025-12-29

Political actors should monitor whether MORN sustains weekly demonstrations through January or December 29 represented isolated event without follow-through capacity Security forces should maintain tolerance posture for peaceful protests while preparing contingency plans if demonstrations escalate or expand geographically International observers should assess whether MORN 40-day mobilization attracts additional civil society organizations expanding opposition coalition breadth CPT should issue public statement by January 5 addressing MORN December 28 declaration of mandate expiration clarifying government constitutional authority Civil society should demand transparency on MORN funding sources and organizational capacity to sustain 40-day campaign versus one-time demonstration CONFIDENCE High confidence based on official institutional reporting.