2026-02-16

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

STRATEGIC HORIZON

GSF CONOPS finalization and force generation conference. 5th SST signals active planning February 16, 2026 beyond conceptual stage. Watch for SST Conference date announcement and force generation commitments from pledging countries. April 2026 deployment timeline requires concrete troop pledges converting to actual deployments. Electoral access in gang-controlled communes. Campaign period begins May 19, 2026, one month after anticipated GSF arrival but before major anti-gang operations. 23 gang-controlled communes across four departments create electoral access challenges requiring security or political solutions before August 30 first round. BINUH DDR program options report. Secretary-General requested to report within 90 days from January 29, 2026 mandate extension, establishing late April deadline. DDR program success critical for sustainable gang demobilization beyond military operations.