2026-02-15

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

TALKING POINTS

CEP maintains August 30 first-round timeline but explicitly states calendar contingent on acceptable security. 23 communes remain under gang control including 12 in West Department where most voters concentrated. Campaign scheduled to start May 19 just weeks after GSF begins arriving before anti-gang operations launch. February 15, 2026 137-million-dollar electoral budget unfunded as US democracy assistance budgets slashed under Trump administration. Electoral decree contains unauthorized additions raising questions about executive interference. Timeline assumes security improvements current trends do not support within four-month operational window.