2026-02-15

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

TALKING POINTS

PM Fils-Aime governs as sole executive authority for first time since Moise assassination creating concentrated political risk. No domestic political consensus exists on successor governance framework despite 220-plus registered parties. US backing provides international legitimacy but does not resolve domestic fragmentation or legitimacy deficits. February 15, 2026 January 2025 polling showed majority distrust of both CPT and PM indicating weak mandate for transitional institutions. Transparency mechanisms absent as former CPT members file asset declarations with no public verification.