2026-02-06
STRATEGIC HORIZON
CEP statement on feasibility of August 30 first round elections given political
uncertainty and funding constraints. GSF deployment acceleration toward April 1
UNSOH operational deadline requiring visible security gains. International donor
conference or funding commitments addressing Chatham House vicious circle analysis.
Artibonite security deterioration potentially expanding gang territorial control beyond
February 06, 2026
Port-au-Prince. Supreme Court TPS decision affecting approximately 300000 Haitian
nationals in United States. Humanitarian crisis escalation if food security and
displacement trends continue without increased assistance.