2026-02-05
DEVELOPMENT 4
No major security incidents occurred in the last 24 hours representing continued
relative calm since the January 31 US Embassy alert. Recent Police Nationale d'Haiti
operations in Croix-des-Bouquets on February 1 neutralized three armed individuals
and seized automatic weapons while January 31 operations killed eight gang
members. Justice Minister Pelissier stated on January 20 that large sections of
Port-au-Prince administrative center have shifted from red zones to orange zones
following operations securing the airport intersection Delmas 19 and Nazon.
Armed gangs continue to control approximately 90 percent of Port-au-Prince despite
these tactical gains. The Gang Suppression Force deployment remains at 950-1000
personnel primarily Kenyan forces against an authorized strength of 5550 with full
deployment expected by summer or autumn 2026. The UN Support Office advances
toward its April 1 operational deadline but the Chatham House assessment reinforces
that GSF alone is insufficient without structural reforms.
The exchange rate remains stable at 131.00 HTG per USD with monthly depreciation
of 0.10 percent and 12-month depreciation of 0.62 percent. No significant devaluation
alert has been triggered. The HOPE-HELP textile program renewal passed the US
House January 11 and awaits Senate action with support from the Association of
Industries but no Senate movement detected in the last 24 hours.
Humanitarian conditions remain severe with 1.5 million people displaced by gang
violence massive food insecurity and an 880 million dollar 2026 humanitarian appeal
targeting 4.2 million people. The FAA ban on US carriers remains in effect until March
7 and the Peligre hydroelectric facility remains offline. These constraints limit
economic recovery potential even in scenarios where security operations produce
territorial gains.
February 05, 2026