2026-01-25

Framework Proposed Political parties UNIR, FNC, and OPL publicly demanded CPT departure February 7, 2026, in accordance with the April 3, 2024 transition agreement, intensifying pressure on the transitional council with 13 days remaining in its mandate. On January 25, UNIR Secretary General Remy Junior Moschino emphasized 2026 is dedicated to elections which must imperatively be held according to constitutional provisions, calling on all actors to demonstrate responsibility and maturity to avoid institutional vacuum or legitimacy conflict at the top of the State. The statement positioned UNIR as defending the transition timeline against CPT attempts to extend its mandate or create governance disruption through the PM dismissal effort. The FNC party made similar demands January 20, specifying CPT must leave February 6 at 11:59 PM, using precise timing to emphasize the legal deadline. OPL called for unconditional departure of all transitional authorities, suggesting a complete reset of the transition framework rather than selective retention of CPT or PM. The coordinated demands from three major political parties signal growing domestic pressure on the CPT beyond international sanctions threats, creating a two-front challenge for the five members who signed the dismissal resolution. Notably, no political party has proposed a concrete successor framework or post-February 7 governance structure. UNIR, FNC, and OPL articulated departure demands but offered no roadmap for constitutional succession, electoral timeline implementation, or interim authority designation. The Compromis Historique party publicly disavowed Smith Augustin January 21 despite his CPT membership and dismissal resolution signature, demonstrating internal party rejection of his actions. The disavowal weakened the five-member coalition by removing one member's party backing, potentially pressuring Augustin to withdraw support for the dismissal January 25, 2026 effort. The operational implications are stark. With 13 days until mandate expiration and no successor framework proposed, Haiti faces three scenarios: CPT publishes dismissal resolution and attempts new PM installation risking U.S. sanctions and PNH resistance, CPT dissolves February 7 with governance vacuum leaving only Fils-Aime's cabinet under constitutional continuity provisions, or political actors negotiate post-February 7 framework in remaining time. The third scenario appears most viable given Saint-Cyr and Fils-Aime's demonstration of executive functionality and international backing at the police graduation, positioning them to anchor a negotiated solution.