2026-01-25

January 25, 2026 February 7 CPT mandate expiration creating governance scenarios: published dismissal with sanctions, dissolution with vacuum, or negotiated framework. GSF deployment acceleration or continued delay beyond April timeline affecting security force adequacy during transition. Electoral timeline implementation challenges given 23 communes under gang control rendering CEP operations impossible. Humanitarian funding gaps threatening WFP operations requiring 44 million through April and 880 million Humanitarian Response Plan severely underfunded. Private sector confidence deterioration if political crisis extends beyond February with business association warnings of grave concern materializing.